Prediction-market moves, explained as living timelines.
PolySays tracks public Polymarket markets, detects meaningful odds movement, and writes restrained timeline updates that connect prices to public context.
Lead market
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026
82%
24h change
-11%
89828
active markets
256.7M
tracked volume
Newly tracked
Markets now ready to explore
NATO x Russia military clash by...?: Odds, News &...
Geopolitics · No 81.0%
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians:...
Sports · No 57.0%
CA Temperley vs. CA Ferrocarril Midland - Exact...
Sports · No 64.5%
Bitcoin above ___ on August 20?: Odds, News & Timeline
Crypto · Yes 100.0%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK...
Esports · Nongshim Red Force 100.0%
Academia Anzoategui FC vs. Trujillanos FC - Exact...
Sports · No 59.0%
Top markets
Latest movement explanations
Showing 24 of 60 matched markets.
What price will Ethereum hit in 2026?
Latest: The market repriced by -10.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Ethereum reach $2,500 by December 31, 2026
82%
Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026
76%
Ethereum reach $2,750 by December 31, 2026
60%
Largest 24h move
Ethereum dip to $1,750 by December 31, 2026 -11%
Volume
236.2K
NATO x Russia military clash by...?
Latest: The market repriced by +27.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
December 31, 2026
26%
October 31, 2026
14%
August 31, 2026
5%
Largest 24h move
August 31, 2026 -31%
Volume
989K
San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians
Latest: Cleveland’s 5-2 win over San Francisco likely drove the Guardians extra-innings market higher, as the final score coincided with the market repricing from 0 to 0.9995.
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians
43%
Largest 24h move
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Francisco Giants vs. Cleveland Guardians 0%
Volume
280.2K
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Latest: The market repriced by -6.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2026
86%
Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026
86%
Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026
86%
Largest 24h move
Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026 +27%
Volume
1.4M
What price will Ethereum hit in August?
Latest: Ethereum trading above $2,000 may have coincided with Polymarket’s Ethereum dip-to-$2,000-in-August Yes odds dropping sharply, but the catalyst is unconfirmed.
Ethereum reach $2,400 in August
70%
Ethereum dip to $2,400 in August
50%
Ethereum reach $2,500 in August
39%
Largest 24h move
Ethereum dip to $2,000 in August -36%
Volume
986.1K
MLB: 2026 NL Hank Aaron Winner
Latest: The market repriced by -9.6 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Pete Crow-Armstrong
50%
Shohei Ohtani
32%
Kyle Schwarber
12%
Largest 24h move
Pete Crow-Armstrong +15%
Volume
350.1
NTT IndyCar Series: 2026 Champion
Latest: The market repriced by -7.2 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Alex Palou
97%
Kyle Kirkwood
3%
Pato O'Ward
2%
Largest 24h move
Rinus VeeKay -26%
Volume
1.1K
Cincinnati Open: Winner
Latest: Arthur Fils' Cincinnati Open run likely strengthened after he beat Alex de Minaur, and that result coincided with a 9.4-point Polymarket surge in his winner contract.
Taylor Fritz
37%
Arthur Fils
15%
Brandon Nakashima
11%
Largest 24h move
Taylor Fritz +14%
Volume
10.4K
What price will Bitcoin hit in August?
Latest: The market repriced by +14.2 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August
100%
Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August
100%
Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August
100%
Largest 24h move
Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August +90%
Volume
3M
Esports Awards: Esports Content Creator of the Year
Latest: The market repriced by +6.6 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Jynxzi
54%
Caedrel
30%
TacticalRab
11%
Largest 24h move
TenZ -8%
Volume
9.1K
1. FC Köln vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Exact Score
Latest: The market repriced by +45.4 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
1. FC Köln 2 - 0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
49%
1. FC Köln 3 - 0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
49%
1. FC Köln 0 - 3 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
49%
Largest 24h move
1. FC Köln 2 - 0 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim +45%
Volume
0
What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in August 2026?
Latest: The market repriced by +5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
(LOW) $80 in August
62%
(HIGH) $90 in August
42%
(HIGH) $85 in August
35%
Largest 24h move
(LOW) $75 in August -9%
Volume
315K
Brazil Série A: Winner
Latest: The market repriced by +6.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Flamengo
52%
Palmeiras
48%
Fluminense
3%
Largest 24h move
Flamengo +6%
Volume
1.3K
Peru Liga 1: Winner
Latest: The market repriced by +8.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Cienciano
47%
Deportivo Garcilaso
46%
Los Chankas
46%
Largest 24h move
ADT +8%
Volume
0
UEFA EURO 2028: Winner
Latest: The market repriced by +5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Spain
23%
France
20%
England
16%
Largest 24h move
Armenia +6%
Volume
24.8
The International 2026: Most Picked Hero
Latest: The market repriced by -22.1 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
Hoodwink
57%
Mirana
25%
Keeper of the Light
22%
Largest 24h move
Morphling -21%
Volume
1.8K
EWC 2026 CS2: Winner
Latest: Falcons’ odds likely weakened as EWC 2026 coverage placed them in the same playoff half as Vitality, Spirit, NAVI and FaZe, which could have made the path look tougher; the market drift coincided with that bracket context.
Team Vitality
24%
Team Falcons
20%
Team Spirit
14%
Largest 24h move
MOUZ +8%
Volume
359.5K
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
Latest: The market repriced by -6.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
December 31, 2026
75%
October 31, 2026
60%
September 30, 2026
38%
Largest 24h move
August 31, 2026 -3%
Volume
518.3K
Leagues Cup Winner 2026
Latest: Pasión Fútbol’s discussion of Liga MX teams against MLS may have coincided with increased attention on 2026 Leagues Cup contenders, while Polymarket’s ‘another team’ price surged from 42.5% to 48.0% over the next 24 hours.
Monterrey
49%
León
48%
another team
48%
Largest 24h move
another team +6%
Volume
0
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?
Latest: The market repriced by -11.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
No
85%
Yes
16%
Leader 24h
+11%
Volume
250
Will OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by...?
Latest: The market repriced by -5.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
December 31, 2026
11%
October 31, 2026
8%
Largest 24h move
October 31, 2026 -2%
Volume
291.4
Kraken IPO by ___ ?
Latest: The market repriced by +12.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
December 31, 2027
68%
June 30, 2027
51%
March 31, 2027
30%
Largest 24h move
December 31, 2026 -3%
Volume
5
UK election called by...?
Latest: The market repriced by -8.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
June 30, 2027
28%
December 31, 2026
7%
Largest 24h move
June 30, 2027 -2%
Volume
28.8
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?
Latest: The market repriced by +5.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
June 30, 2027
37%
December 31, 2027
34%
December 31, 2026
14%
Largest 24h move
June 30, 2027 +5%
Volume
3.8